Peruvian Liga 1 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Comerciantes Unidos — Cienciano
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Comerciantes Unidos 37%, Cienciano 35%, draw 28%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 60%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Cienciano are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Comerciantes Unidos: winless in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Comerciantes Unidos 0 wins, Cienciano 4, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Comerciantes Unidos — Cienciano What is xG? | 1.5–1.4 | |
| Comerciantes Unidos not to lose | 65% | |
| Cienciano not to lose | 63% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 40% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 55% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 45% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Comerciantes Unidos
- Comerciantes Unidos goals
- Cienciano goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10ADC Juan Pablo II1:1
- 18.09away · Alianza Atlético1:2
- 12.09Sport Huancayo0:1
- 06.09away · Universitario de Deportes2:2
- 28.08FC Cajamarca2:3
- 08.10away · Club Deportivo Moquegua2:0
- 30.09Los Chankas1:1
- 23.09away · Asociación Deportiva Tarma1:2
- 18.09away · Montevideo City Torque0:3
- 11.09Montevideo City Torque2:0
Head to head
- 03.05.2026Cienciano — Comerciantes Unidos1:0
- 08.08.2025Comerciantes Unidos — Cienciano1:1
- 10.03.2025Cienciano — Comerciantes Unidos3:2
- 13.07.2024Comerciantes Unidos — Cienciano1:2
- 28.01.2024Cienciano — Comerciantes Unidos1:0
Peruvian Liga 1 on the same day
- Universitario de DeportesADC Juan Pablo IIpreliminary761591The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2
- Club Deportivo MoqueguaAlianza Limapreliminary1727562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.2
- Sport BoysFC Cajamarcapreliminary5026241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →