Serie A, round 6 · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Como — Roma
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0:0Came true
In short
Final score 0:0: the model's most likely outcome, a draw (31%), came true.
Evenly matched: Como 36%, Roma 33%, draw 31%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Como — Roma What is xG? | 1.3–1.2 | |
| Como not to lose | 67% | |
| Roma not to lose | 64% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 47% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 53% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap Como
- Como goals
- Roma goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 20.09away · Frosinone0:2
- 14.09Parma2:1
- 10.09RB Leipzig4:1
- 04.09away · Genoa4:1
- 30.08away · Napoli2:1
Head to head
- 15.03.2026Como — Roma2:1
- 15.12.2025Roma — Como1:0
- 02.03.2025Roma — Como2:1
- 15.12.2024Como — Roma2:0
Table
Next matches
- FeyenoordComo14 October · Champions League3727372The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- RomaReal Madrid14 October · Champions League4426301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
Serie A on the same day
- 6126131The most likely outcome came true: 13:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 2:1.2.5
- 2131482The most likely outcome came true: 21:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 1:2, exactly right.2.3
- 2128512The most likely outcome did not happen: 21:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 0:1.3.0
- 1729542The most likely outcome did not happen: 21:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 0:2.2.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →