Liga MX (Mexico), round 12 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Cruz Azul — FC Juárez
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Cruz Azul are clear favourites: 70% against 11% for the opponent, draw 19%.
3.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Cruz Azul are about 1.0 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Cruz Azul — No. 7, 17 pts; FC Juárez — No. 18, 4 pts. A gap of 13 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Cruz Azul 3 wins, FC Juárez 1, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Cruz Azul — FC Juárez What is xG? | 2.3–0.9 | |
| Cruz Azul not to lose | 89% | |
| FC Juárez not to lose | 30% | |
| No draw | 81% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 61% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 39% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Cruz Azul
- Cruz Azul goals
- FC Juárez goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10away · Pumas3:3
- 27.09Toluca3:3
- 20.09away · Monterrey0:1
- 13.09CF América4:3
- 07.09Santos Laguna1:0
- 11.10Tijuana1:1
- 28.09away · León1:2
- 19.09Tigres2:0
- 14.09away · Santos Laguna1:2
- 05.09Pachuca0:2
Head to head
- 31.01.2026FC Juárez — Cruz Azul3:4
- 20.09.2025Cruz Azul — FC Juárez3:2
- 19.01.2025FC Juárez — Cruz Azul1:0
- 24.10.2024Cruz Azul — FC Juárez4:0
- 20.01.2024FC Juárez — Cruz Azul0:0
Table
Liga MX on the same day
- 4227301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
- 5527191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 3130392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- 731891The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 70% will not happen in roughly 30 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →