Brazilian Serie A, round 32 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK

Cruzeiro — Remo

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Model prediction for 24 October

Cruzeiro67%
Draw21%
Remo12%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Cruzeiro are clear favourites: 67% against 12% for the opponent, draw 21%.

2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).

Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 50%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Cruzeiro are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Cruzeiro — Remo What is xG?2.1–0.8
Cruzeiro not to lose88%
Remo not to lose33%
No draw79%
Both teams to score: yes50%
Both teams to score: no50%
Total over 2.555%
Total under 2.545%

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Form

Cruzeiro

  • 13.10away · RB Bragantino2:4
  • 08.10São Paulo2:0
  • 20.09away · Vitória3:1
  • 13.09away · Santos1:2
  • 06.09Athletico Paranaense3:1

Remo

  • 11.10away · Vasco da Gama0:0
  • 08.10Grêmio1:1
  • 20.09Santos1:2
  • 15.09away · Bahia1:2
  • 06.09Flamengo0:1

Head to head

  • 26.04.2026Remo — Cruzeiro0:1

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
5, Copa LibertadoresBahia301310744–36+849
6, Copa SudamericanaCruzeiro301461046–44+248
7, Copa SudamericanaAtlético-MG30138941–35+647
18, RelegationGrêmio307101332–40-831
19, RelegationRemo305101533–48-1525
20, RelegationChapecoense29391730–61-3118

Season 2026

Full table

Brasileirao on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 67% will not happen in roughly 33 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →