Brazilian Serie A, round 32 · Saturday, 24 October, 22:30 MSK

Internacional — Botafogo

Model prediction for 24 October

Internacional53%

Draw26%

Botafogo21%

Model estimate at 20:13 MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Internacional are clear favourites: 53% against 21% for the opponent, draw 26%.

2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).

Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 54%.

Why

By the strength ratings Internacional are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Internacional — Botafogo What is xG?		1.6–1.0
Internacional not to lose		79%
Botafogo not to lose		47%
No draw		74%
Both teams to score: yes		54%
Both teams to score: no		46%
Total over 2.5		50%
Total under 2.5		50%

183 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Handicap Internacional
Internacional goals
Botafogo goals
Corners and cards
Full score grid

Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Internacional

11.10away · Grêmio1:1
08.10Corinthians2:1
20.09away · São Paulo0:1
12.09away · Chapecoense2:1
06.09Santos2:3

Botafogo

12.10away · Coritiba1:1
08.10Vasco da Gama1:2
19.09away · Mirassol0:2
17.09Grêmio3:2
13.09RB Bragantino1:1

Head to head

26.04.2026Botafogo — Internacional2:2
05.10.2025Internacional — Botafogo2:0
12.05.2025Botafogo — Internacional4:0
05.12.2024Internacional — Botafogo0:1
21.07.2024Botafogo — Internacional1:0

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
11, Copa Sudamericana	Coritiba	30	10	9	11	38–48	-10	39
12	Botafogo	30	9	9	12	43–48	-5	36
13	Vitória	30	10	6	14	33–44	-11	36
15	Mirassol	30	8	9	13	34–44	-10	33
16	Internacional	30	7	11	12	33–38	-5	32
17, Relegation	Corinthians	30	8	8	14	31–38	-7	32

Season 2026

Full table

Brasileirao on the same day

02:00
CruzeiroRemopreliminary
672112
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
22:30
MirassolSão Paulopreliminary
462926
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
22:30
VitóriaAthletico Paranaensepreliminary
342937
XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →