Russian Premier League, round 10 · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · VEB Arena
CSKA Moscow — Rodina
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
3:0Came true
In short
Final score 3:0: the model's most likely outcome, CSKA Moscow to win (73%), came true.
CSKA Moscow are clear favourites: 73% against 9% for the opponent, draw 19%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.4 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 67%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings CSKA Moscow are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Rodina: winless in 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: CSKA Moscow — Rodina What is xG? | 2.5–0.9 | |
| CSKA Moscow not to lose | 91% | |
| Rodina not to lose | 27% | |
| No draw | 81% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 67% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 33% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap CSKA Moscow
- CSKA Moscow goals
- Rodina goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 17.09away · Dynamo Makhachkala3:1
- 12.09Rubin Kazan1:1
- 05.09away · Zenit St. Petersburg2:1
- 01.09away · FC Rostov0:2
- 28.08away · Akron Togliatti2:2
- 16.09Rubin Kazan1:1
- 11.09away · Krylya Sovetov Samara1:2
- 06.09away · Dynamo Makhachkala0:2
- 02.09away · Spartak Moscow1:3
- 30.08Baltika0:3
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSKA Moscow | 10 | 6 | +9 | 22 |
| 2 | Dinamo Moscow | 10 | 7 | +7 | 22 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | Akron Togliatti | 10 | 1 | -8 | 8 |
| 15, Relegation | Rodina | 10 | 1 | -15 | 5 |
| 16, Relegation | Fakel | 10 | 0 | -12 | 3 |
Next matches
- CSKA MoscowFC Rostov14 October · Russian Cup5025251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- RodinaSpartak Moscow15 October · Russian Cup917742The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.2
Russian Premier League on the same day
- 293536XThe most likely outcome came true: X0:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 1:1.2.1
- 2433432The most likely outcome came true: 20:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 1:2.2.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 73% will not happen in roughly 27 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →