Russian Premier League, round 10 · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · Ak Bars Arena
Rubin Kazan — Dinamo Moscow
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0:1Came true
In short
Final score 0:1: the model's most likely outcome, Dinamo Moscow to win (43%), came true.
Dinamo Moscow are slightly stronger: 43% against 24%, draw 33%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 58%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Dinamo Moscow are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Rubin Kazan — Dinamo Moscow What is xG? | 1.1–1.5 | |
| Rubin Kazan not to lose | 57% | |
| Dinamo Moscow not to lose | 76% | |
| No draw | 67% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 42% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 50% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Rubin Kazan
- Rubin Kazan goals
- Dinamo Moscow goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 16.09away · Rodina1:1
- 12.09away · CSKA Moscow1:1
- 07.09FK Akhmat1:1
- 02.09away · FC Orenburg1:1
- 30.08Dynamo Makhachkala3:1
- 17.09away · FC Rostov3:0
- 12.09FC Orenburg1:0
- 06.09Spartak Moscow2:1
- 03.09FK Akhmat3:0
- 29.08away · Lokomotiv Moscow1:0
Head to head
- 22.04.2026Dinamo Moscow — Rubin Kazan0:1
- 01.11.2025Rubin Kazan — Dinamo Moscow0:0
- 20.04.2025Dinamo Moscow — Rubin Kazan3:1
- 20.10.2024Rubin Kazan — Dinamo Moscow0:4
- 04.12.2023Dinamo Moscow — Rubin Kazan1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSKA Moscow | 10 | 6 | +9 | 22 |
| 2 | Dinamo Moscow | 10 | 7 | +7 | 22 |
| 3 | Zenit St. Petersburg | 10 | 7 | +11 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Orenburg | 10 | 2 | +1 | 12 |
| 8 | Rubin Kazan | 10 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Krylya Sovetov Samara | 10 | 2 | -1 | 12 |
Next matches
- FK AkhmatDinamo Moscow14 October · Russian Cup1722602The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:32.9
- Rubin KazanFC Orenburg15 October · Russian Cup4426301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
Russian Premier League on the same day
- 293536XThe most likely outcome came true: X0:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 1:1.2.1
- 731991The most likely outcome came true: 13:0Final score 3:0. Model's score: 3:1.3.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →