UEFA Conference League, round 1 · Thursday, 15 October, MSK · Stadion Vasil Levski
CSKA Sofia — Monaco
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
Monaco are clear favourites: 64% against 15% for the opponent, draw 21%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.0 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Monaco are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: CSKA Sofia — Monaco What is xG? | 0.9–2.1 | |
| CSKA Sofia not to lose | 36% | |
| Monaco not to lose | 85% | |
| No draw | 79% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 58% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 42% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap CSKA Sofia
- CSKA Sofia goals
- Monaco goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Toulouse2:2
- 18.09Lens2:1
- 12.09away · Strasbourg1:1
- 04.09away · Paris Saint-Germain2:1
- 30.08Marseille2:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Conference League on the same day
- 5225231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 7218111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.2
- 5624201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 2024562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- 3427402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- 2024562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- 2525502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.8
- 4925261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →