UEFA Conference League, round 1 · Thursday, 15 October, MSK · Stadions Skonto
Riga FC — Kairat Almaty
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
Kairat Almaty are clear favourites: 56% against 20% for the opponent, draw 24%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 2.9 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Kairat Almaty are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Riga FC — Kairat Almaty What is xG? | 1.0–1.9 | |
| Riga FC not to lose | 44% | |
| Kairat Almaty not to lose | 80% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 55% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 45% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Riga FC
- Riga FC goals
- Kairat Almaty goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
No past matches in the data yet.
- 10.10Zhetysu Taldykorgan1:0
- 17.09away · FC Astana0:1
- 13.09Tobol Kostanay1:4
- 09.09Zhenis3:0
- 05.09away · Kaspiy Aktau3:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Conference League on the same day
- 5225231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 7218111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.2
- 5624201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 2024562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- 3427402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- 2525502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.8
- 1521642The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.0
- 4925261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →