UEFA Conference League, round 1 · Thursday, 15 October, MSK · Stadion Poljud
Hajduk Split — Ajax
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
Ajax are clear favourites: 50% against 25% for the opponent, draw 25%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Ajax are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Hajduk Split — Ajax What is xG? | 1.1–1.7 | |
| Hajduk Split not to lose | 50% | |
| Ajax not to lose | 75% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Hajduk Split
- Hajduk Split goals
- Ajax goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
No past matches in the data yet.
- 10.10NEC Nijmegen1:1
- 19.09Excelsior2:2
- 15.09Willem II5:1
- 12.09away · Fortuna Sittard5:1
- 05.09PSV Eindhoven1:3
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Conference League on the same day
- 5225231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 7218111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.2
- 5624201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 2024562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- 3427402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- 2024562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- 1521642The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.0
- 4925261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →