Colombian Primera A (Liga BetPlay) · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Estadio Santiago de las Atalayas
Deportivo Pereira — Deportivo Cali
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In short
Final score 0:0: the model's most likely outcome, Deportivo Cali to win (44%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 44% fails in about 56 matches out of 100 on average.
Deportivo Cali are slightly stronger: 44% against 27%, draw 29%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 40%, both teams to score — 47%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Deportivo Cali are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Deportivo Pereira: winless in 5; Deportivo Cali: 5 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Deportivo Pereira 2 wins, Deportivo Cali 2, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Deportivo Pereira — Deportivo Cali What is xG? | 1.0–1.3 | |
| Deportivo Pereira not to lose | 56% | |
| Deportivo Cali not to lose | 73% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 47% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 53% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 40% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 60% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Deportivo Pereira
- Deportivo Pereira goals
- Deportivo Cali goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 05.10away · Cúcuta0:4
- 29.09Santa Fe1:2
- 27.09Internacional de Bogotá0:0
- 19.09away · Águilas Doradas2:2
- 13.09Bucaramanga1:3
- 03.10Alianza FC3:1
- 28.09Águilas Doradas2:0
- 23.09away · Santa Fe1:0
- 20.09Cúcuta3:0
- 14.09away · Once Caldas2:1
Head to head
- 29.03.2026Deportivo Cali — Deportivo Pereira1:0
- 04.10.2025Deportivo Cali — Deportivo Pereira1:0
- 16.04.2025Deportivo Pereira — Deportivo Cali2:0
- 17.07.2024Deportivo Cali — Deportivo Pereira0:2
- 20.01.2024Deportivo Pereira — Deportivo Cali2:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Semi-final groups | América de Cali | 13 | 8 | +16 | 27 |
| 2, Semi-final groups | Deportivo Cali | 13 | 7 | +11 | 25 |
| 3, Semi-final groups | Bucaramanga | 12 | 6 | +10 | 24 |
| 19 | Deportivo Pasto | 12 | 2 | -9 | 9 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 12 | 1 | -10 | 9 |
Next matches
- Junior FCDeportivo Pereira15 October · Colombian Primera A7019111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- Deportivo CaliJunior FC19 October · Colombian Primera A4230281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
Colombian Primera A on the same day
- 363034XThe most likely outcome came true: X2:2Final score 2:2. Model's score: 1:1.2.5
- 5427191The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:0.2.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →