Colombian Primera A (Liga BetPlay) · Thursday, 15 October, MSK · Estadio Romelio Martínez

Junior FC — Deportivo Pereira

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Model prediction for 15 October

Junior FC70%
Draw19%
Deportivo Pereira11%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Junior FC are clear favourites: 70% against 11% for the opponent, draw 19%.

2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).

Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 47%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Junior FC are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • League table: Junior FC — No. 17, 10 pts; Deportivo Pereira — No. 20, 9 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
  • Deportivo Pereira: winless in 5.
  • Last 5 meetings: Junior FC 3 wins, Deportivo Pereira 1, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Junior FC — Deportivo Pereira What is xG?2.1–0.8
Junior FC not to lose89%
Deportivo Pereira not to lose30%
No draw81%
Both teams to score: yes47%
Both teams to score: no53%
Total over 2.551%
Total under 2.549%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Junior FC
  • Junior FC goals
  • Deportivo Pereira goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Junior FC

  • 11.10Internacional de Bogotá2:2
  • 05.10away · Bucaramanga1:3
  • 01.10away · Atlético Nacional1:3
  • 27.09Independiente Medellín2:0
  • 20.09away · Fortaleza FC4:1

Deportivo Pereira

  • 10.10Deportivo Cali0:0
  • 05.10away · Cúcuta0:4
  • 29.09Santa Fe1:2
  • 27.09Internacional de Bogotá0:0
  • 19.09away · Águilas Doradas2:2

Head to head

  • 03.02.2026Deportivo Pereira — Junior FC2:3
  • 19.10.2025Junior FC — Deportivo Pereira3:2
  • 27.04.2025Deportivo Pereira — Junior FC1:0
  • 21.10.2024Junior FC — Deportivo Pereira3:1
  • 23.05.2024Deportivo Pereira — Junior FC0:0

Full record: 9 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026 (Clausura)
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
16Fortaleza FC1318414–19-511
17Junior FC1224618–22-410
18CD Jaguares1224614–22-810
19Deportivo Pasto122379–18-99
20Deportivo Pereira121657–17-109

Season 2026 (Clausura)

Full table

Colombian Primera A on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 70% will not happen in roughly 30 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →