Argentine Liga Profesional · Monday, 5 October, MSK · Estadio Guillermo Laza
Deportivo Riestra — Central Córdoba de Santiago
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In short
Final score 1:1: the model's most likely outcome, Deportivo Riestra to win (51%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 51% fails in about 49 matches out of 100 on average.
Deportivo Riestra are clear favourites: 51% against 19% for the opponent, draw 29%.
1.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 29%, both teams to score — 35%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Deportivo Riestra are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Deportivo Riestra: winless in 5; Central Córdoba de Santiago: winless in 5.
- Last 4 meetings: Deportivo Riestra 2 wins, Central Córdoba de Santiago 1, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Deportivo Riestra — Central Córdoba de Santiago What is xG? | 1.2–0.7 | |
| Deportivo Riestra not to lose | 81% | |
| Central Córdoba de Santiago not to lose | 49% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 35% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 65% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 29% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 71% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Deportivo Riestra
- Deportivo Riestra goals
- Central Córdoba de Santiago goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 19.09away · Gimnasia Mendoza0:0
- 15.09Lanús0:3
- 10.09Banfield1:1
- 05.09away · Club Atlético Platense1:1
- 29.08Vélez Sarsfield1:1
- 19.09Defensa y Justicia2:2
- 12.09away · Boca Juniors1:3
- 06.09Independiente0:1
- 30.08away · Talleres0:0
- 25.08away · Tigre1:2
Head to head
- 18.03.2026Central Córdoba de Santiago — Deportivo Riestra1:0
- 12.09.2025Deportivo Riestra — Central Córdoba de Santiago2:0
- 01.03.2025Central Córdoba de Santiago — Deportivo Riestra0:0
- 05.08.2024Deportivo Riestra — Central Córdoba de Santiago1:0
Next matches
- Central Córdoba de SantiagoEstudiantes10 October · Liga Profesional323237XThe most likely outcome came true: X2:2Final score 2:2. Model's score: 0:0.2.1
- San LorenzoDeportivo Riestra11 October · Liga Profesional413326XThe most likely outcome did not happen: X1:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 0:0.1.6
Liga Profesional on the same day
- 4731231The most likely outcome came true: 12:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 1:0.1.9
- 3031402The most likely outcome came true: 21:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:1.2.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →