UEFA Europa League, round 2 · Thursday, 15 October, MSK · Stadion Maksimir
Dinamo Zagreb — Anderlecht
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
Dinamo Zagreb are slightly stronger: 43% against 30%, draw 26%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Anderlecht are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Dinamo Zagreb — Anderlecht What is xG? | 1.5–1.3 | |
| Dinamo Zagreb not to lose | 70% | |
| Anderlecht not to lose | 57% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Dinamo Zagreb
- Dinamo Zagreb goals
- Anderlecht goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 16.09away · Hapoel Beer Sheva0:0
- 26.02away · Genk3:3
- 19.02Genk1:3
- 29.01away · FC Midtjylland0:2
- 22.01FCSB4:1
- 10.10away · Cercle Brugge2:1
- 19.09Zulte Waregem3:0
- 16.09Lyon1:2
- 11.09away · KV Mechelen1:0
- 06.09Genk0:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Sunderland | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 17, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Dinamo Zagreb | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 18, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Rennes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 20, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Sturm Graz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 21, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Anderlecht | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 |
| 22, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Lillestrøm | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 |
Europa League on the same day
- 4925261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 6720131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- 6720131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
- 3226412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
- 5524211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 4027341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- 5723201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 2926462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →