Eibar — Almería
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Eibar are slightly stronger: 45% against 28%, draw 27%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Eibar are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Eibar — Almería What is xG? | 1.5–1.2 | |
| Eibar not to lose | 72% | |
| Almería not to lose | 55% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 50% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Eibar
- Eibar goals
- Almería goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 12.10away · Real Oviedo1:3
- 03.10away · Albacete3:1
- 27.09Las Palmas3:2
- 19.09away · Eldense2:1
- 14.09away · Celta Fortuna4:0
- 11.10Leganés3:0
- 03.10Burgos CF2:1
- 27.09away · Mallorca1:0
- 20.09Celta Fortuna2:0
- 12.09away · Córdoba2:0
Head to head
- 25.01.2026Eibar — Almería1:0
- 01.11.2025Almería — Eibar3:1
- 07.03.2025Eibar — Almería1:0
- 22.09.2024Almería — Eibar2:2
- 24.01.2022Almería — Eibar0:2
Table
Segunda Division on the same day
- Real Sociedad BGironapreliminary3528372The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- Celta FortunaCórdobapreliminary3828341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.4
- AlbaceteSabadellpreliminary3329392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →