DFB-Pokal, round 2 · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK
Elversberg — Darmstadt
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 27 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Elversberg are clear favourites: 59% against 18% for the opponent, draw 23%.
The model expects few goals: 2.9 in total, against a competition average of 3.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Elversberg are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Elversberg — Darmstadt What is xG? | 1.9–1.0 | |
| Elversberg not to lose | 82% | |
| Darmstadt not to lose | 41% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap Elversberg
- Elversberg goals
- Darmstadt goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 10.10away · Union Berlin0:1
- 20.09away · Schalke 040:0
- 13.09Bayern München1:2
- 05.09away · Borussia Mönchengladbach4:3
- 29.08Bayer Leverkusen3:2
- 10.10Energie Cottbus3:1
- 18.09away · Wolfsburg1:5
- 11.09Arminia Bielefeld2:1
- 05.09away · Kaiserslautern0:3
- 30.08Hannover 960:1
Head to head
- 25.04.2026Darmstadt — Elversberg3:3
- 30.11.2025Elversberg — Darmstadt0:0
- 08.02.2025Darmstadt — Elversberg0:3
- 31.08.2024Elversberg — Darmstadt4:0
DFB-Pokal on the same day
- BochumMainz 05preliminary1722602The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:32.9
- Sonnenhof GroßaspachAugsburgpreliminary512832The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.6
- Hamburger SVEintracht Frankfurtpreliminary3527382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- RW EssenRB Leipzigpreliminary49872The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:43.8
- Borussia MönchengladbachKarlsruher SCpreliminary6122171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.0
- Borussia DortmundWerder Bremenpreliminary741691The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2
- 1. FC KölnUnion Berlinpreliminary4027331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →