DFB-Pokal, round 2 · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK
Hamburger SV — Eintracht Frankfurt
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 27 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Hamburger SV 35%, Eintracht Frankfurt 38%, draw 27%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- Last 2 meetings: Hamburger SV 1 win, Eintracht Frankfurt 0, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Hamburger SV — Eintracht Frankfurt What is xG? | 1.4–1.4 | |
| Hamburger SV not to lose | 62% | |
| Eintracht Frankfurt not to lose | 65% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap Hamburger SV
- Hamburger SV goals
- Eintracht Frankfurt goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 10.10away · Hoffenheim3:2
- 19.091. FC Köln2:1
- 13.09away · RB Leipzig0:5
- 06.09Mainz 050:5
- 29.08away · Borussia Dortmund0:2
- 10.10away · RB Leipzig0:6
- 19.09Freiburg2:2
- 12.09away · Mainz 053:1
- 06.09Augsburg1:4
- 29.08away · Union Berlin3:3
Head to head
- 02.05.2026Eintracht Frankfurt — Hamburger SV1:2
- 20.12.2025Hamburger SV — Eintracht Frankfurt1:1
DFB-Pokal on the same day
- BochumMainz 05preliminary1822602The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:32.9
- Sonnenhof GroßaspachAugsburgpreliminary512832The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.6
- RW EssenRB Leipzigpreliminary39882The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:43.9
- Borussia MönchengladbachKarlsruher SCpreliminary6122171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- Borussia DortmundWerder Bremenpreliminary741791The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2
- ElversbergDarmstadtpreliminary5923181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- 1. FC KölnUnion Berlinpreliminary4027331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →