Ecuadorian LigaPro Serie A, playoff · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Emelec — Guayaquil City
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Emelec are slightly stronger: 42% against 29%, draw 29%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.4).
Over 2.5 goals — 41%, both teams to score — 48%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Emelec are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Emelec: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Emelec 0 wins, Guayaquil City 2, 3 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Emelec — Guayaquil City What is xG? | 1.3–1.1 | |
| Emelec not to lose | 71% | |
| Guayaquil City not to lose | 58% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 52% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 41% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 59% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Emelec
- Emelec goals
- Guayaquil City goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Guayaquil City2:3
- 20.09Libertad (ECU)1:2
- 13.09away · CSD Macará0:1
- 08.09Manta1:0
- 04.09away · Libertad (ECU)1:1
- 11.10Emelec3:2
- 20.09Leones del Norte1:1
- 13.09Mushuc Runa3:1
- 08.09away · Orense3:4
- 03.09away · Deportivo Cuenca0:1
Head to head
- 11.10.2026Guayaquil City — Emelec3:2
- 10.08.2026Guayaquil City — Emelec0:0
- 18.04.2026Emelec — Guayaquil City1:3
- 04.11.2023Guayaquil City — Emelec0:0
- 30.05.2023Emelec — Guayaquil City0:0
LigaPro Serie A on the same day
- 6321161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.4
- LDU de QuitoCSD Macarápreliminary4828241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
- AucasBarcelona SCpreliminary4130281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.1
- Leones del NorteLibertad (ECU)preliminary373033XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.1
- Técnico UniversitarioMushuc Runapreliminary362935XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.5
- MantaDeportivo Cuencapreliminary363233XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:01.9
- OrenseDelfínpreliminary5327201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →