Ukrainian Premier League, round 10 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK

Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi — FC Kharkiv

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Model prediction for 24 October

Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi21%
Draw28%
FC Kharkiv51%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

FC Kharkiv are clear favourites: 51% against 21% for the opponent, draw 28%.

2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).

Over 2.5 goals — 38%, both teams to score — 42%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings FC Kharkiv are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi — FC Kharkiv What is xG?0.8–1.4
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi not to lose49%
FC Kharkiv not to lose79%
No draw72%
Both teams to score: yes42%
Both teams to score: no58%
Total over 2.538%
Total under 2.562%

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Form

Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi

  • 10.10away · FC Kolos Kovalivka1:3
  • 19.09Liviy Bereh0:2
  • 14.09away · Dynamo Kyiv0:3
  • 06.09Bukovyna Chernivtsi0:0
  • 29.08away · Kudrivka3:0

FC Kharkiv

  • 10.10away · Chornomorets Odesa2:1
  • 19.09Bukovyna Chernivtsi2:0
  • 05.09Obolon Kyiv5:0
  • 31.08away · Zorya3:0
  • 16.08Shakhtar Donetsk0:1

Head to head

  • 16.05.2026FC Kharkiv — Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi1:1
  • 30.11.2025Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi — FC Kharkiv0:0

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
3, Europa League or Conference LeagueDynamo Kyiv751110–5+516
4FC Kharkiv750214–5+915
5Karpaty842215–6+914
10Bukovyna Chernivtsi81526–8-28
11Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi82247–10-38
12Liviy Bereh71425–6-17

Season 2026/27

Full table

Ukrainian Premier League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →