Ukrainian Premier League, round 10 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Liviy Bereh — LNZ Cherkasy
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
LNZ Cherkasy are slightly stronger: 41% against 25%, draw 34%.
The model expects few goals: 1.5 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 18%, both teams to score — 26%.
Why
- By the strength ratings LNZ Cherkasy are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Liviy Bereh — LNZ Cherkasy What is xG? | 0.6–0.9 | |
| Liviy Bereh not to lose | 59% | |
| LNZ Cherkasy not to lose | 75% | |
| No draw | 66% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 26% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 74% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 18% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 82% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap Liviy Bereh
- Liviy Bereh goals
- LNZ Cherkasy goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 12.10Zorya1:3
- 19.09away · Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi2:0
- 13.09away · Polissya Zhytomyr0:1
- 04.09away · Chornomorets Odesa0:0
- 29.08Karpaty1:1
- 11.10Kudrivka2:1
- 20.09away · Shakhtar Donetsk0:3
- 12.09Obolon Kyiv3:1
- 06.09away · Dynamo Kyiv0:0
- 30.08Veres Rivne0:1
Head to head
- 07.12.2024Liviy Bereh — LNZ Cherkasy3:1
- 04.08.2024LNZ Cherkasy — Liviy Bereh1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Zorya | 8 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 7 | LNZ Cherkasy | 8 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 8 | Veres Rivne | 8 | 2 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 | Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi | 8 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Liviy Bereh | 7 | 1 | -1 | 7 |
| 13, Relegation play-off | Kryvbas | 6 | 1 | -3 | 5 |
Ukrainian Premier League on the same day
- Epitsentr Kamianets-PodilskyiFC Kharkivpreliminary2128512The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.2
- Shakhtar DonetskZoryapreliminary801461The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →