Ukrainian Premier League, round 10 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi — FC Kharkiv
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
FC Kharkiv are clear favourites: 50% against 22% for the opponent, draw 29%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 41%, both teams to score — 45%.
Why
- By the strength ratings FC Kharkiv are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi — No. 11, 8 pts; FC Kharkiv — No. 4, 15 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
- Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi: 3 defeats in a row; FC Kharkiv: 4 wins in a row.
- Last 2 meetings: Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi 0 wins, FC Kharkiv 0, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi — FC Kharkiv What is xG? | 0.8–1.5 | |
| Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi not to lose | 50% | |
| FC Kharkiv not to lose | 78% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 45% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 55% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 41% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 59% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi
- Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi goals
- FC Kharkiv goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · FC Kolos Kovalivka1:3
- 19.09Liviy Bereh0:2
- 14.09away · Dynamo Kyiv0:3
- 06.09Bukovyna Chernivtsi0:0
- 29.08away · Kudrivka3:0
- 10.10away · Chornomorets Odesa2:1
- 19.09Bukovyna Chernivtsi2:0
- 05.09Obolon Kyiv5:0
- 31.08away · Zorya3:0
- 16.08Shakhtar Donetsk0:1
Head to head
- 16.05.2026FC Kharkiv — Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi1:1
- 30.11.2025Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi — FC Kharkiv0:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Europa League or Conference League | Dynamo Kyiv | 7 | 5 | +5 | 16 |
| 4 | FC Kharkiv | 7 | 5 | +9 | 15 |
| 5 | Karpaty | 8 | 4 | +9 | 14 |
| 10 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 8 | 1 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 | Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi | 8 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Liviy Bereh | 7 | 1 | -1 | 7 |
Ukrainian Premier League on the same day
- Liviy BerehLNZ Cherkasypreliminary253441XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:01.7
- Shakhtar DonetskZoryapreliminary801461The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →