Argentine Liga Profesional · Sunday, 1 November, MSK

Estudiantes — Instituto

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Model prediction for 1 November

Estudiantes43%
Draw30%
Instituto27%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Estudiantes are slightly stronger: 43% against 27%, draw 30%.

2.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 36%, both teams to score — 44%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Estudiantes — Instituto What is xG?1.2–0.9
Estudiantes not to lose73%
Instituto not to lose57%
No draw70%
Both teams to score: yes44%
Both teams to score: no56%
Total over 2.536%
Total under 2.564%

183 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Estudiantes
  • Estudiantes goals
  • Instituto goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Estudiantes

  • 10.10away · Central Córdoba de Santiago2:2
  • 06.10Gimnasia Mendoza3:0
  • 02.10away · Club Atlético Platense0:1
  • 22.09away · Lanús1:2
  • 17.09away · Corinthians1:0

Instituto

  • 10.10Boca Juniors2:2
  • 03.10away · Independiente4:1
  • 20.09Talleres3:1
  • 15.09Estudiantes de Río Cuarto2:1
  • 08.09away · Unión2:3

Head to head

  • 18.04.2026Instituto — Estudiantes0:1
  • 20.10.2024Estudiantes — Instituto3:2
  • 30.05.2023Instituto — Estudiantes0:0

Full record: 3 meetings →

Liga Profesional on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →