Argentine Liga Profesional · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Boca Juniors — River Plate
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Boca Juniors are clear favourites: 50% against 22% for the opponent, draw 28%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 41%, both teams to score — 47%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Boca Juniors are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Boca Juniors — River Plate What is xG? | 1.4–0.9 | |
| Boca Juniors not to lose | 78% | |
| River Plate not to lose | 50% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 47% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 53% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 41% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 59% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Boca Juniors
- Boca Juniors goals
- River Plate goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Instituto2:2
- 03.10Unión3:0
- 27.09away · Racing Club3:2
- 20.09away · San Lorenzo2:0
- 16.09away · São Paulo1:1
- 11.10Estudiantes de Río Cuarto1:0
- 20.09Huracán1:2
- 12.09away · Atlético Tucumán2:1
- 07.09Independiente Rivadavia3:1
- 30.08away · Banfield3:2
Head to head
- 19.04.2026River Plate — Boca Juniors0:1
- 09.11.2025Boca Juniors — River Plate2:0
- 27.04.2025River Plate — Boca Juniors2:1
- 21.09.2024Boca Juniors — River Plate0:1
- 07.05.2023River Plate — Boca Juniors1:0
Liga Profesional on the same day
- Vélez SarsfieldSan Lorenzopreliminary5129191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.0
- EstudiantesInstitutopreliminary4330271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →