Turkish Cup, round 3 · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK

Etimesgut Spor Kulubu — Gaziantep FK

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Model prediction for 27 October

Etimesgut Spor Kulubu14%
Draw20%
Gaziantep FK66%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Gaziantep FK are clear favourites: 66% against 14% for the opponent, draw 20%.

3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).

Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 52%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Gaziantep FK are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Etimesgut Spor Kulubu — Gaziantep FK What is xG?0.9–2.2
Etimesgut Spor Kulubu not to lose34%
Gaziantep FK not to lose86%
No draw80%
Both teams to score: yes52%
Both teams to score: no48%
Total over 2.559%
Total under 2.541%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Etimesgut Spor Kulubu
  • Etimesgut Spor Kulubu goals
  • Gaziantep FK goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Etimesgut Spor Kulubu

No past matches in the data yet.

Gaziantep FK

  • 11.10Çorum FK0:3
  • 19.09away · Kocaelispor0:2
  • 14.09Fenerbahçe0:0
  • 07.09away · Göztepe4:2
  • 29.08Rizespor1:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Turkish Cup on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 66% will not happen in roughly 34 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →