Peruvian Liga 1 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
FBC Melgar — Deportivo Garcilaso
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
FBC Melgar are clear favourites: 53% against 21% for the opponent, draw 26%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 49%.
Why
- By the strength ratings FBC Melgar are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- FBC Melgar: unbeaten in 4.
- Last 5 meetings: FBC Melgar 1 win, Deportivo Garcilaso 2, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: FBC Melgar — Deportivo Garcilaso What is xG? | 1.6–0.9 | |
| FBC Melgar not to lose | 79% | |
| Deportivo Garcilaso not to lose | 47% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 46% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 54% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap FBC Melgar
- FBC Melgar goals
- Deportivo Garcilaso goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 11.10away · Universitario de Deportes2:2
- 20.09Sport Boys1:1
- 12.09away · Cusco FC1:0
- 07.09Asociación Deportiva Tarma3:0
- 01.09away · Atlético Grau0:1
- 10.10Sport Huancayo0:1
- 20.09Universitario de Deportes4:0
- 13.09away · Sport Boys0:1
- 06.09Atlético Grau4:2
- 30.08away · Alianza Lima1:0
Head to head
- 28.04.2026Deportivo Garcilaso — FBC Melgar1:0
- 19.09.2025Deportivo Garcilaso — FBC Melgar1:1
- 18.04.2025FBC Melgar — Deportivo Garcilaso1:2
- 03.11.2024FBC Melgar — Deportivo Garcilaso1:1
- 25.05.2024Deportivo Garcilaso — FBC Melgar1:3
Peruvian Liga 1 on the same day
- 5724191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.0
- 3829331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →