Peruvian Liga 1 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Alianza Atlético — Universitario de Deportes
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Evenly matched: Alianza Atlético 38%, Universitario de Deportes 33%, draw 29%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 59%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Universitario de Deportes are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Alianza Atlético 2 wins, Universitario de Deportes 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Alianza Atlético — Universitario de Deportes What is xG? | 1.4–1.3 | |
| Alianza Atlético not to lose | 67% | |
| Universitario de Deportes not to lose | 62% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Alianza Atlético
- Alianza Atlético goals
- Universitario de Deportes goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Sport Boys3:1
- 18.09Comerciantes Unidos2:1
- 13.09away · Atlético Grau1:3
- 04.09CD UT Cajamarca3:2
- 30.08away · Club Deportivo Moquegua4:1
- 11.10FBC Melgar2:2
- 20.09away · Deportivo Garcilaso0:4
- 13.09away · Alianza Lima2:1
- 06.09Comerciantes Unidos2:2
- 29.08away · CD UT Cajamarca4:2
Head to head
- 27.04.2026Universitario de Deportes — Alianza Atlético1:2
- 02.10.2025Alianza Atlético — Universitario de Deportes0:2
- 12.05.2025Universitario de Deportes — Alianza Atlético0:1
- 15.09.2024Alianza Atlético — Universitario de Deportes0:3
- 06.04.2024Universitario de Deportes — Alianza Atlético1:0
Peruvian Liga 1 on the same day
- 5326211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- 721991The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
- 7416101The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- 5724191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →