Peruvian Liga 1 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
FC Cajamarca — Club Deportivo Moquegua
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
FC Cajamarca are clear favourites: 57% against 19% for the opponent, draw 24%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- Club Deportivo Moquegua: 5 defeats in a row.
- Days of rest before the match: FC Cajamarca 8, Club Deportivo Moquegua 10.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: FC Cajamarca — Club Deportivo Moquegua What is xG? | 1.9–1.0 | |
| FC Cajamarca not to lose | 81% | |
| Club Deportivo Moquegua not to lose | 43% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 58% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 42% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap FC Cajamarca
- FC Cajamarca goals
- Club Deportivo Moquegua goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Asociación Deportiva Tarma0:0
- 19.09Cusco FC1:2
- 12.09away · Los Chankas2:1
- 04.09Cienciano2:5
- 28.08away · Comerciantes Unidos3:2
- 08.10Cienciano0:2
- 20.09away · ADC Juan Pablo II0:4
- 13.09Sporting Cristal1:2
- 06.09away · Cusco FC0:2
- 30.08Alianza Atlético1:4
Head to head
- 25.04.2026Club Deportivo Moquegua — FC Cajamarca2:1
Peruvian Liga 1 on the same day
- 5326211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- 3829331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →