Eredivisie (Netherlands), round 11 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
FC Groningen — Sparta Rotterdam
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
FC Groningen are clear favourites: 52% against 22% for the opponent, draw 26%.
3.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 66%, both teams to score — 68%.
Why
- By the strength ratings FC Groningen are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: FC Groningen — Sparta Rotterdam What is xG? | 2.0–1.4 | |
| FC Groningen not to lose | 78% | |
| Sparta Rotterdam not to lose | 48% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 68% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 32% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 66% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 34% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap FC Groningen
- FC Groningen goals
- Sparta Rotterdam goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 11.10away · Excelsior5:1
- 18.09PEC Zwolle3:0
- 12.09away · Go Ahead Eagles1:1
- 06.09FC Twente2:2
- 28.08Fortuna Sittard2:3
- 10.10away · Go Ahead Eagles3:3
- 19.09SC Heerenveen0:4
- 13.09away · PSV Eindhoven1:4
- 04.09PEC Zwolle2:2
- 29.08away · Excelsior1:2
Head to head
- 31.01.2026Sparta Rotterdam — FC Groningen2:0
- 19.10.2025FC Groningen — Sparta Rotterdam0:2
- 02.02.2025Sparta Rotterdam — FC Groningen1:0
- 09.11.2024FC Groningen — Sparta Rotterdam1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ajax | 8 | 4 | +12 | 15 |
| 6 | FC Groningen | 8 | 4 | +6 | 14 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 8 | 4 | -1 | 14 |
| 13 | FC Utrecht | 8 | 2 | -11 | 8 |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam | 8 | 1 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 | Telstar | 8 | 1 | -7 | 6 |
Eredivisie on the same day
- PEC ZwolleADO Den Haagpreliminary4329281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- TelstarFC Utrechtpreliminary3329382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.3
- ExcelsiorFC Twentepreliminary2028522The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →