Eredivisie (Netherlands), round 11 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
PEC Zwolle — ADO Den Haag
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
PEC Zwolle are slightly stronger: 43% against 28%, draw 29%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 59%.
Why
- By the strength ratings ADO Den Haag are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: PEC Zwolle — ADO Den Haag What is xG? | 1.6–1.2 | |
| PEC Zwolle not to lose | 72% | |
| ADO Den Haag not to lose | 57% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap PEC Zwolle
- PEC Zwolle goals
- ADO Den Haag goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 11.10Cambuur0:1
- 18.09away · FC Groningen0:3
- 13.09Feyenoord0:7
- 04.09away · Sparta Rotterdam2:2
- 29.08NEC Nijmegen1:3
- 11.10away · Telstar2:2
- 19.09Cambuur1:1
- 12.09away · FC Twente0:2
- 06.09Fortuna Sittard2:3
- 30.08away · Feyenoord2:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Telstar | 8 | 1 | -7 | 6 |
| 16, Relegation play-off | PEC Zwolle | 8 | 1 | -15 | 4 |
| 17, Relegation | ADO Den Haag | 8 | 0 | -10 | 3 |
| 18, Relegation | Willem II | 8 | 0 | -16 | 2 |
Eredivisie on the same day
- TelstarFC Utrechtpreliminary3329382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.3
- ExcelsiorFC Twentepreliminary2028522The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
- FC GroningenSparta Rotterdampreliminary5226221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →