Liga MX (Mexico), round 15 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK

FC Juárez — Querétaro FC

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Model prediction for 31 October

FC Juárez35%
Draw28%
Querétaro FC37%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: FC Juárez 35%, Querétaro FC 37%, draw 28%.

2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).

Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 62%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: FC Juárez — Querétaro FC What is xG?1.4–1.5
FC Juárez not to lose63%
Querétaro FC not to lose65%
No draw72%
Both teams to score: yes62%
Both teams to score: no38%
Total over 2.556%
Total under 2.544%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap FC Juárez
  • FC Juárez goals
  • Querétaro FC goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

FC Juárez

  • 11.10Tijuana1:1
  • 28.09away · León1:2
  • 19.09Tigres2:0
  • 14.09away · Santos Laguna1:2
  • 05.09Pachuca0:2

Querétaro FC

  • 11.10Atlante2:0
  • 27.09away · Chivas2:0
  • 21.09León1:1
  • 12.09away · Tijuana1:0
  • 30.08away · Atlas3:1

Head to head

  • 08.04.2026Querétaro FC — FC Juárez1:1
  • 08.11.2025FC Juárez — Querétaro FC1:2
  • 21.04.2025FC Juárez — Querétaro FC0:2
  • 02.11.2024Querétaro FC — FC Juárez1:2
  • 16.03.2024Querétaro FC — FC Juárez1:0

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026 (Apertura)
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
2, Liguilla (playoffs)Toluca1162325–15+1020
3, Liguilla (playoffs)Querétaro FC1062215–8+720
4, Liguilla (playoffs)Chivas1154218–11+719
17Necaxa1123615–23-89
18FC Juárez111198–26-184

Season 2026 (Apertura)

Full table

Liga MX on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
  • PueblaPumaspreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.6

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →