Liga MX (Mexico), round 15 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
FC Juárez — Querétaro FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: FC Juárez 34%, Querétaro FC 38%, draw 28%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 62%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: FC Juárez — No. 18, 4 pts; Querétaro FC — No. 3, 20 pts. A gap of 16 pts.
- Querétaro FC: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: FC Juárez 1 win, Querétaro FC 3, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: FC Juárez — Querétaro FC What is xG? | 1.4–1.5 | |
| FC Juárez not to lose | 62% | |
| Querétaro FC not to lose | 66% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 62% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 38% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap FC Juárez
- FC Juárez goals
- Querétaro FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Tijuana1:1
- 28.09away · León1:2
- 19.09Tigres2:0
- 14.09away · Santos Laguna1:2
- 05.09Pachuca0:2
- 11.10Atlante2:0
- 27.09away · Chivas2:0
- 21.09León1:1
- 12.09away · Tijuana1:0
- 30.08away · Atlas3:1
Head to head
- 08.04.2026Querétaro FC — FC Juárez1:1
- 08.11.2025FC Juárez — Querétaro FC1:2
- 21.04.2025FC Juárez — Querétaro FC0:2
- 02.11.2024Querétaro FC — FC Juárez1:2
- 16.03.2024Querétaro FC — FC Juárez1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Liguilla (playoffs) | Toluca | 11 | 6 | +10 | 20 |
| 3, Liguilla (playoffs) | Querétaro FC | 10 | 6 | +7 | 20 |
| 4, Liguilla (playoffs) | Chivas | 11 | 5 | +7 | 19 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 11 | 2 | -8 | 9 |
| 18 | FC Juárez | 11 | 1 | -18 | 4 |
Liga MX on the same day
- Atlético de San LuisAtlaspreliminary3929331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- PueblaPumaspreliminary353035XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →