Liga MX (Mexico), round 15 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK

Puebla — Pumas

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Model prediction for 31 October

Puebla30%
Draw29%
Pumas41%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Pumas are slightly stronger: 41% against 30%, draw 29%.

2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).

Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Pumas are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Puebla — Pumas What is xG?1.2–1.4
Puebla not to lose59%
Pumas not to lose70%
No draw71%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.549%
Total under 2.551%

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Form

Puebla

  • 10.10León1:1
  • 27.09away · Tigres0:1
  • 19.09Atlante1:1
  • 16.09Toluca0:1
  • 12.09away · Necaxa1:0

Pumas

  • 12.10Cruz Azul3:3
  • 27.09Atlético de San Luis2:3
  • 20.09away · Atlas1:1
  • 14.09away · Chivas0:3
  • 11.09León3:1

Head to head

  • 14.02.2026Puebla — Pumas2:3
  • 25.08.2025Pumas — Puebla0:0
  • 08.03.2025Puebla — Pumas1:3
  • 18.09.2024Pumas — Puebla1:0
  • 11.02.2024Pumas — Puebla3:0

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026 (Apertura)
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
8, Liguilla (playoffs)Tijuana1043315–14+115
9Puebla1143412–13-115
10Monterrey1042417–15+214
11Pachuca1134418–14+413
12Pumas1134417–19-213
13Tigres1134413–15-213

Season 2026 (Apertura)

Full table

Liga MX on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →