Ukrainian Premier League, round 11 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
FC Kolos Kovalivka — Polissya Zhytomyr
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Polissya Zhytomyr are clear favourites: 49% against 21% for the opponent, draw 30%.
2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 40%, both teams to score — 45%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Polissya Zhytomyr are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: FC Kolos Kovalivka — No. 9, 8 pts; Polissya Zhytomyr — No. 2, 19 pts. A gap of 11 pts.
- Polissya Zhytomyr: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: FC Kolos Kovalivka 1 win, Polissya Zhytomyr 2, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: FC Kolos Kovalivka — Polissya Zhytomyr What is xG? | 0.8–1.4 | |
| FC Kolos Kovalivka not to lose | 51% | |
| Polissya Zhytomyr not to lose | 79% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 45% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 55% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 40% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 60% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap FC Kolos Kovalivka
- FC Kolos Kovalivka goals
- Polissya Zhytomyr goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi3:1
- 20.09away · Kudrivka3:2
- 11.09Karpaty0:2
- 05.09away · Kryvbas2:2
- 28.08Obolon Kyiv0:0
- 11.10away · Bukovyna Chernivtsi2:2
- 18.09Kryvbas1:0
- 13.09Liviy Bereh1:0
- 04.09Kudrivka5:1
- 29.08away · Shakhtar Donetsk2:0
Head to head
- 22.02.2026FC Kolos Kovalivka — Polissya Zhytomyr0:2
- 10.08.2025Polissya Zhytomyr — FC Kolos Kovalivka0:1
- 27.04.2025FC Kolos Kovalivka — Polissya Zhytomyr1:1
- 25.10.2024Polissya Zhytomyr — FC Kolos Kovalivka1:1
- 14.04.2024Polissya Zhytomyr — FC Kolos Kovalivka1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Champions League qualifying | Shakhtar Donetsk | 8 | 7 | +14 | 21 |
| 2, Europa League or Conference League | Polissya Zhytomyr | 8 | 6 | +10 | 19 |
| 3, Europa League or Conference League | Dynamo Kyiv | 7 | 5 | +5 | 16 |
| 8 | Veres Rivne | 8 | 2 | -3 | 9 |
| 9 | FC Kolos Kovalivka | 7 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 8 | 1 | -2 | 8 |
Ukrainian Premier League on the same day
- ZoryaEpitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyipreliminary4928231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
- KarpatyKudrivkapreliminary741791The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- KryvbasDynamo Kyivpreliminary2126532The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.1
- Liviy BerehBukovyna Chernivtsipreliminary323533XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:01.7
- LNZ CherkasyFC Kharkivpreliminary333434XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:11.9
- Obolon KyivShakhtar Donetskpreliminary412842The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.0
- Veres RivneChornomorets Odesapreliminary4831211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →