UEFA Conference League, round 1 · Thursday, 15 October, MSK · De Grolsch Veste
FC Twente — Thun
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
FC Twente are clear favourites: 72% against 10% for the opponent, draw 17%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.2 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 62%, both teams to score — 51%.
Why
- By the strength ratings FC Twente are about 1.0 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: FC Twente — Thun What is xG? | 2.4–0.8 | |
| FC Twente not to lose | 90% | |
| Thun not to lose | 28% | |
| No draw | 83% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 62% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 38% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap FC Twente
- FC Twente goals
- Thun goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Fortuna Sittard1:1
- 20.09PSV Eindhoven3:2
- 12.09ADO Den Haag2:0
- 09.09Telstar1:0
- 06.09away · FC Groningen2:2
- 10.10away · FC Zürich2:4
- 20.09away · FC Vaduz2:1
- 16.09Servette2:4
- 12.09Grasshopper0:1
- 06.09away · Sion2:3
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Conference League on the same day
- 5225231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 7218111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.2
- 5624201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 2024562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- 3427402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- 2024562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- 2525502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.8
- 1521642The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 72% will not happen in roughly 28 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →