Serie A, round 9 · Thursday, 29 October, MSK
Fiorentina — Atalanta
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 29 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Fiorentina 34%, Atalanta 37%, draw 29%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 60%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Fiorentina — Atalanta What is xG? | 1.4–1.4 | |
| Fiorentina not to lose | 63% | |
| Atalanta not to lose | 66% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 40% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Fiorentina
- Fiorentina goals
- Atalanta goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
Head to head
- 22.05.2026Fiorentina — Atalanta1:1
- 30.11.2025Atalanta — Fiorentina2:0
- 30.03.2025Fiorentina — Atalanta1:0
- 15.09.2024Atalanta — Fiorentina3:2
- 02.06.2024Atalanta — Fiorentina2:3
Table
Serie A on the same day
- FrosinoneLeccepreliminary4431251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →