Colombian Primera A (Liga BetPlay) · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Fortaleza FC — Deportivo Cali
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Fortaleza FC 35%, Deportivo Cali 34%, draw 31%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 51%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Fortaleza FC — No. 16, 11 pts; Deportivo Cali — No. 2, 25 pts. A gap of 14 pts.
- Fortaleza FC: winless in 5; Deportivo Cali: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Fortaleza FC 2 wins, Deportivo Cali 1, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Fortaleza FC — Deportivo Cali What is xG? | 1.2–1.2 | |
| Fortaleza FC not to lose | 66% | |
| Deportivo Cali not to lose | 65% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 45% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 55% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Fortaleza FC
- Fortaleza FC goals
- Deportivo Cali goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 09.10Millonarios1:1
- 04.10away · Deportivo Pasto0:0
- 28.09Tolima2:2
- 20.09Junior FC1:4
- 12.09away · CD Jaguares2:2
- 10.10away · Deportivo Pereira0:0
- 03.10Alianza FC3:1
- 28.09Águilas Doradas2:0
- 23.09away · Santa Fe1:0
- 20.09Cúcuta3:0
Head to head
- 02.03.2026Deportivo Cali — Fortaleza FC1:1
- 25.07.2025Deportivo Cali — Fortaleza FC1:1
- 10.02.2025Fortaleza FC — Deportivo Cali1:0
- 30.07.2024Fortaleza FC — Deportivo Cali2:1
- 31.01.2024Deportivo Cali — Fortaleza FC2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Semi-final groups | América de Cali | 13 | 8 | +16 | 27 |
| 2, Semi-final groups | Deportivo Cali | 13 | 7 | +11 | 25 |
| 3, Semi-final groups | Bucaramanga | 12 | 6 | +10 | 24 |
| 15 | Alianza FC | 13 | 3 | -12 | 12 |
| 16 | Fortaleza FC | 13 | 1 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 | Junior FC | 12 | 2 | -4 | 10 |
Colombian Primera A on the same day
- Alianza FCInternacional de Bogotápreliminary4429271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
- América de CaliCúcutapreliminary6323141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:02.8
- Once CaldasDeportivo Pereirapreliminary6423131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:02.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 35% will not happen in roughly 65 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →