Norwegian Eliteserien, round 25 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Fredrikstad — Rosenborg
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Rosenborg are slightly stronger: 44% against 28%, draw 29%.
The model expects few goals: 2.9 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 60%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Rosenborg are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Fredrikstad — Rosenborg What is xG? | 1.3–1.6 | |
| Fredrikstad not to lose | 56% | |
| Rosenborg not to lose | 72% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 40% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Fredrikstad
- Fredrikstad goals
- Rosenborg goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 11.10Tromsø1:1
- 20.09away · Vålerenga1:1
- 13.09Sarpsborg 081:1
- 04.09Bodø/Glimt1:2
- 30.08away · Lillestrøm4:1
- 10.10Sandefjord1:1
- 19.09away · Kristiansund3:1
- 12.09Tromsø5:3
- 05.09Hamarkameratene4:0
- 30.08away · Bodø/Glimt2:4
Head to head
- 27.07.2026Rosenborg — Fredrikstad4:0
- 28.05.2025Fredrikstad — Rosenborg0:2
- 05.04.2025Rosenborg — Fredrikstad1:0
- 27.07.2024Fredrikstad — Rosenborg2:2
- 02.06.2024Rosenborg — Fredrikstad1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Europa League or Conference League | Molde | 22 | 11 | +12 | 37 |
| 5 | Rosenborg | 22 | 10 | +9 | 34 |
| 6 | Lillestrøm | 22 | 10 | -1 | 33 |
| 7 | Brann | 22 | 9 | +5 | 29 |
| 8 | Fredrikstad | 22 | 8 | -7 | 29 |
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 | 22 | 7 | -3 | 28 |
Eliteserien on the same day
- AalesundSandefjordpreliminary4026341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →