Norwegian Eliteserien, round 25 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Fredrikstad — Rosenborg
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Rosenborg are clear favourites: 50% against 22% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.2).
Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 61%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Rosenborg are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Fredrikstad — No. 8, 29 pts; Rosenborg — No. 5, 34 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
- Fredrikstad: winless in 4; Rosenborg: unbeaten in 4.
- Last 5 meetings: Fredrikstad 0 wins, Rosenborg 3, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Fredrikstad — Rosenborg What is xG? | 1.2–1.8 | |
| Fredrikstad not to lose | 50% | |
| Rosenborg not to lose | 78% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 61% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 39% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 57% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 43% |
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- Handicap Fredrikstad
- Fredrikstad goals
- Rosenborg goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 11.10Tromsø1:1
- 20.09away · Vålerenga1:1
- 13.09Sarpsborg 081:1
- 04.09Bodø/Glimt1:2
- 30.08away · Lillestrøm4:1
- 10.10Sandefjord1:1
- 19.09away · Kristiansund3:1
- 12.09Tromsø5:3
- 05.09Hamarkameratene4:0
- 30.08away · Bodø/Glimt2:4
Head to head
- 27.07.2026Rosenborg — Fredrikstad4:0
- 28.05.2025Fredrikstad — Rosenborg0:2
- 05.04.2025Rosenborg — Fredrikstad1:0
- 27.07.2024Fredrikstad — Rosenborg2:2
- 02.06.2024Rosenborg — Fredrikstad1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Europa League or Conference League | Molde | 22 | 11 | +12 | 37 |
| 5 | Rosenborg | 22 | 10 | +9 | 34 |
| 6 | Lillestrøm | 22 | 10 | -1 | 33 |
| 7 | Brann | 22 | 9 | +5 | 29 |
| 8 | Fredrikstad | 22 | 8 | -7 | 29 |
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 | 22 | 7 | -3 | 28 |
Eliteserien on the same day
- AalesundSandefjordpreliminary4826261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:23.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →