Norwegian Eliteserien, round 25 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Aalesund — Sandefjord
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Aalesund 40%, Sandefjord 34%, draw 26%.
3.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.2).
Over 2.5 goals — 69%, both teams to score — 72%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Aalesund — Sandefjord What is xG? | 1.9–1.7 | |
| Aalesund not to lose | 66% | |
| Sandefjord not to lose | 60% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 28% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 69% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 31% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Aalesund
- Aalesund goals
- Sandefjord goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 11.10Sarpsborg 082:4
- 19.09away · Molde2:1
- 13.09away · KFUM1:2
- 04.09Start2:0
- 30.08away · Viking1:2
Head to head
- 03.05.2026Sandefjord — Aalesund1:0
- 06.11.2023Aalesund — Sandefjord0:3
- 30.04.2023Sandefjord — Aalesund4:0
- 23.10.2022Aalesund — Sandefjord1:0
- 12.07.2022Sandefjord — Aalesund2:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hamarkameratene | 22 | 7 | -13 | 26 |
| 12 | Sandefjord | 22 | 6 | -6 | 24 |
| 13 | Vålerenga | 22 | 6 | -10 | 23 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | Aalesund | 22 | 4 | -15 | 21 |
| 15, Relegation | Kristiansund | 22 | 5 | -21 | 19 |
Eliteserien on the same day
- FredrikstadRosenborgpreliminary2829442The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →