UEFA Conference League, round 1 · Thursday, 15 October, MSK · Europa-Park Stadion
Freiburg — Jablonec
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
Freiburg are clear favourites: 78% against 7% for the opponent, draw 15%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.4 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 66%, both teams to score — 48%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Freiburg are about 1.1 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Freiburg — Jablonec What is xG? | 2.7–0.7 | |
| Freiburg not to lose | 93% | |
| Jablonec not to lose | 22% | |
| No draw | 85% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 52% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 66% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 34% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Freiburg
- Freiburg goals
- Jablonec goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Schalke 042:1
- 19.09away · Eintracht Frankfurt2:2
- 12.09Borussia Mönchengladbach5:0
- 05.09away · Paderborn1:0
- 30.08Werder Bremen4:1
- 09.12away · CFR Cluj0:2
- 25.11AZ Alkmaar1:1
- 04.11away · Randers FC2:2
- 21.10Randers FC2:2
- 30.09away · AZ Alkmaar0:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Conference League on the same day
- 5225231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 7218111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.2
- 5624201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 2024562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- 3427402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- 2024562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- 2525502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.8
- 1521642The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 78% will not happen in roughly 22 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →