Turkish Super Lig, round 9 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Gaziantep FK — Erzurumspor FK
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Gaziantep FK are clear favourites: 51% against 21% for the opponent, draw 28%.
The model expects few goals: 2.3 in total, against a competition average of 2.7.
Over 2.5 goals — 41%, both teams to score — 46%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Gaziantep FK are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Gaziantep FK — Erzurumspor FK What is xG? | 1.5–0.9 | |
| Gaziantep FK not to lose | 79% | |
| Erzurumspor FK not to lose | 49% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 46% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 54% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 41% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 59% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Gaziantep FK
- Gaziantep FK goals
- Erzurumspor FK goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Çorum FK0:3
- 19.09away · Kocaelispor0:2
- 14.09Fenerbahçe0:0
- 07.09away · Göztepe4:2
- 29.08Rizespor1:2
- 10.10away · Alanyaspor0:0
- 20.09Samsunspor1:0
- 11.09away · Beşiktaş0:3
- 05.09Konyaspor1:0
- 28.08away · Gençlerbirliği1:1
Head to head
- 25.04.2021Gaziantep FK — Erzurumspor FK2:3
- 02.01.2021Erzurumspor FK — Gaziantep FK1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Başakşehir | 7 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Gaziantep FK | 7 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Gençlerbirliği | 7 | 2 | -8 | 8 |
| 14 | Erzurumspor FK | 7 | 2 | -8 | 8 |
| 15 | Göztepe | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
Super Lig on the same day
- EyüpsporKasımpaşapreliminary353035XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.4
- SamsunsporAmed Sportifpreliminary3327402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →