Turkish Super Lig, round 9 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK

Eyüpspor — Kasımpaşa

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Model prediction for 24 October

Eyüpspor35%
Draw30%
Kasımpaşa35%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Eyüpspor 35%, Kasımpaşa 35%, draw 30%.

2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).

Over 2.5 goals — 43%, both teams to score — 51%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Eyüpspor — Kasımpaşa What is xG?1.2–1.2
Eyüpspor not to lose65%
Kasımpaşa not to lose65%
No draw70%
Both teams to score: yes51%
Both teams to score: no49%
Total over 2.543%
Total under 2.557%

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Form

Eyüpspor

  • 12.10Göztepe0:4
  • 20.09away · Fenerbahçe0:8
  • 12.09Rizespor0:2
  • 06.09away · Çorum FK0:3
  • 30.08Alanyaspor2:1

Kasımpaşa

  • 09.10away · Galatasaray1:3
  • 18.09Konyaspor0:0
  • 13.09away · Gençlerbirliği2:1
  • 06.09Amed Sportif2:2
  • 30.08away · Başakşehir1:1

Head to head

  • 15.03.2026Kasımpaşa — Eyüpspor1:0
  • 20.10.2025Eyüpspor — Kasımpaşa2:0
  • 10.05.2025Eyüpspor — Kasımpaşa0:3
  • 13.12.2024Kasımpaşa — Eyüpspor2:0

Full record: 4 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
8Çorum FK731316–12+410
9Kasımpaşa72418–8010
10Rizespor73137–9-210
17, RelegationSamsunspor71156–15-94
18, RelegationEyüpspor71062–20-183

Season 2026/27

Full table

Super Lig on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 35% will not happen in roughly 65 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →