Turkish Super Lig, round 9 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Samsunspor — Amed Sportif
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Samsunspor 33%, Amed Sportif 40%, draw 27%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 62%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Samsunspor are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Samsunspor — Amed Sportif What is xG? | 1.4–1.6 | |
| Samsunspor not to lose | 60% | |
| Amed Sportif not to lose | 67% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 62% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 38% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 58% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 42% |
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- Handicap Samsunspor
- Samsunspor goals
- Amed Sportif goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 10.10Trabzonspor0:3
- 20.09away · Erzurumspor FK0:1
- 12.09Çorum FK1:5
- 06.09away · Kocaelispor0:1
- 30.08Fenerbahçe0:2
- 10.10away · Gençlerbirliği2:2
- 20.09Beşiktaş3:2
- 13.09Başakşehir5:0
- 06.09away · Kasımpaşa2:2
- 31.08Trabzonspor2:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Champions League qualifying | Beşiktaş | 7 | 5 | +8 | 15 |
| 3, Europa League or Conference League | Amed Sportif | 7 | 4 | +8 | 14 |
| 4, Europa League or Conference League | Fenerbahçe | 7 | 4 | +13 | 13 |
| 16, Relegation | Konyaspor | 7 | 1 | -4 | 5 |
| 17, Relegation | Samsunspor | 7 | 1 | -9 | 4 |
| 18, Relegation | Eyüpspor | 7 | 1 | -18 | 3 |
Super Lig on the same day
- EyüpsporKasımpaşapreliminary353035XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.4
- Gaziantep FKErzurumspor FKpreliminary5128211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →