Tanzania Premier League, round 8 · Friday, 16 October, MSK

Geita Gold FC — Dodoma Jiji FC

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Model prediction for 16 October

Geita Gold FC51%
Draw27%
Dodoma Jiji FC22%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Geita Gold FC are clear favourites: 51% against 22% for the opponent, draw 27%.

2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.2).

Over 2.5 goals — 43%, both teams to score — 47%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Facts

  • League table: Geita Gold FC — No. 12, 7 pts; Dodoma Jiji FC — No. 6, 11 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
  • Geita Gold FC: 3 defeats in a row; Dodoma Jiji FC: unbeaten in 4.
  • Last 2 meetings: Geita Gold FC 1 win, Dodoma Jiji FC 0, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Geita Gold FC — Dodoma Jiji FC What is xG?1.5–0.9
Geita Gold FC not to lose78%
Dodoma Jiji FC not to lose49%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes47%
Both teams to score: no53%
Total over 2.543%
Total under 2.557%

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Form

Geita Gold FC

  • 08.10away · Pamba Jiji0:4
  • 15.09away · Young Africans0:1
  • 31.08away · Simba SC0:2
  • 28.08Azam FC2:2
  • 22.08Kagera Sugar6:2

Dodoma Jiji FC

  • 09.10Singida Black Stars1:1
  • 11.09Namungo FC1:0
  • 04.09Mashujaa1:0
  • 29.08away · TRA United1:0
  • 25.08Polisi Tanzania FC0:1

Head to head

  • 09.03.2024Dodoma Jiji FC — Geita Gold FC0:1
  • 21.10.2023Geita Gold FC — Dodoma Jiji FC2:2

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
5Singida Black Stars832314–11+311
6Dodoma Jiji FC73225–5011
7Polisi Tanzania FC731310–9+110
11Namungo FC83057–11-49
12Geita Gold FC72149–12-37
13TRA United71336–7-16

Season 2026/27

Full table

Tanzania Premier League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →