Tanzania Premier League, round 9 · Monday, 26 October, MSK
Geita Gold FC — Fountain Gate FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 26 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Geita Gold FC are clear favourites: 62% against 16% for the opponent, draw 23%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 2.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 48%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Geita Gold FC are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Geita Gold FC — No. 12, 7 pts; Fountain Gate FC — No. 16, 4 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Geita Gold FC: 3 defeats in a row; Fountain Gate FC: winless in 5.
- Last 2 meetings: Geita Gold FC 1 win, Fountain Gate FC 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Geita Gold FC — Fountain Gate FC What is xG? | 1.9–0.8 | |
| Geita Gold FC not to lose | 84% | |
| Fountain Gate FC not to lose | 38% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 52% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 50% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 50% |
91 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Geita Gold FC
- Geita Gold FC goals
- Fountain Gate FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 08.10away · Pamba Jiji0:4
- 15.09away · Young Africans0:1
- 31.08away · Simba SC0:2
- 28.08Azam FC2:2
- 22.08Kagera Sugar6:2
- 09.10JKT Tanzania1:2
- 13.09away · Kagera Sugar1:1
- 31.08Young Africans0:2
- 28.08Mbeya City0:2
- 25.08away · Namungo FC0:1
Head to head
- 25.05.2024Fountain Gate FC — Geita Gold FC2:1
- 21.12.2023Geita Gold FC — Fountain Gate FC1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Namungo FC | 8 | 3 | -4 | 9 |
| 12 | Geita Gold FC | 7 | 2 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | TRA United | 7 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
| 15 | Pamba Jiji | 7 | 1 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Fountain Gate FC | 7 | 1 | -8 | 4 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →