Belgian Pro League, round 8 · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Cegeka Arena
Genk — Kortrijk
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3:0Came true
In short
Final score 3:0: the model's most likely outcome, Genk to win (78%), came true.
Genk are clear favourites: 78% against 7% for the opponent, draw 15%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 45%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Genk are about 1.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Genk — Kortrijk What is xG? | 2.3–0.7 | |
| Genk not to lose | 93% | |
| Kortrijk not to lose | 22% | |
| No draw | 85% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 45% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 55% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
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Form
- 20.09away · Club Brugge0:3
- 13.09Gent1:1
- 06.09away · Anderlecht0:0
- 28.08SK Beveren4:0
- 22.08away · Royal Antwerp4:4
- 20.09SK Beveren1:0
- 13.09away · RAAL La Louvière0:3
- 06.09Zulte Waregem0:2
- 03.09away · Anderlecht0:1
- 29.08Sporting Charleroi1:3
Head to head
- 07.12.2024Genk — Kortrijk3:2
- 05.10.2024Kortrijk — Genk2:1
- 17.12.2023Genk — Kortrijk4:0
- 29.10.2023Kortrijk — Genk0:3
- 26.12.2022Kortrijk — Genk1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Westerlo | 8 | 4 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 | Genk | 8 | 3 | +4 | 12 |
| 8 | Zulte Waregem | 8 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 17, Relegation | Cercle Brugge | 8 | 0 | -7 | 3 |
| 18, Relegation | Kortrijk | 8 | 1 | -16 | 3 |
Next matches
- VirtonGenk17 October · Belgian Cup511842The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.6
- KortrijkKV Mechelen23 October · Belgian Pro League · preliminary3129402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.5
Belgian Pro League on the same day
- 4026341The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:1.3.1
- 1422642The most likely outcome came true: 21:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 0:1.2.9
- 353035XThe most likely outcome did not happen: X0:2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 1:1.2.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 78% will not happen in roughly 22 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →