Belgian Pro League, round 8 · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Jan Breydelstadion
Cercle Brugge — Anderlecht
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
In short
Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Cercle Brugge to win (40%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 40% fails in about 60 matches out of 100 on average.
Evenly matched: Cercle Brugge 40%, Anderlecht 34%, draw 26%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.1 in total, against a competition average of 2.7.
Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 65%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Cercle Brugge are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Cercle Brugge — Anderlecht What is xG? | 1.6–1.5 | |
| Cercle Brugge not to lose | 66% | |
| Anderlecht not to lose | 60% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 65% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 35% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 61% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 39% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Cercle Brugge
- Cercle Brugge goals
- Anderlecht goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 19.09away · Sporting Charleroi2:3
- 12.09away · OH Leuven1:1
- 06.09Gent0:3
- 29.08Lommel0:1
- 23.08away · Club Brugge0:1
Head to head
- 22.03.2026Anderlecht — Cercle Brugge2:3
- 03.08.2025Cercle Brugge — Anderlecht0:2
- 16.03.2025Anderlecht — Cercle Brugge3:0
- 10.11.2024Cercle Brugge — Anderlecht0:5
- 28.04.2024Cercle Brugge — Anderlecht1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Europa League or Conference League | Union St.Gilloise | 8 | 6 | +18 | 20 |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 8 | 5 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 | Westerlo | 8 | 4 | +3 | 13 |
| 16 | RAAL La Louvière | 8 | 1 | -10 | 4 |
| 17, Relegation | Cercle Brugge | 8 | 0 | -7 | 3 |
| 18, Relegation | Kortrijk | 8 | 1 | -16 | 3 |
Next matches
- Dinamo ZagrebAnderlecht15 October · Europa League4426301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- Sporting HasseltCercle Brugge16 October · Belgian Cup1219692The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.1
Belgian Pro League on the same day
- 1422642The most likely outcome came true: 21:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 0:1.2.9
- 781571The most likely outcome came true: 13:0Final score 3:0. Model's score: 2:0.2.9
- 353035XThe most likely outcome did not happen: X0:2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 1:1.2.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →