Belgian Pro League, round 8 · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Easi Arena

RAAL La Louvière — Club Brugge

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Model prediction and result

1:4Came true
RAAL La Louvière14%
Draw22%
Club Brugge64%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:4: the model's most likely outcome, Club Brugge to win (64%), came true.

Club Brugge are clear favourites: 64% against 14% for the opponent, draw 22%.

2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).

Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 55%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Club Brugge are about 1.2 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • Last 2 meetings: RAAL La Louvière 2 wins, Club Brugge 0.

Probabilities

Expected goals: RAAL La Louvière — Club Brugge What is xG?0.9–2.0
RAAL La Louvière not to lose36%
Club Brugge not to lose86%
No draw78%
Both teams to score: yes55%
Both teams to score: no45%
Total over 2.557%
Total under 2.543%

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  • Handicap RAAL La Louvière
  • RAAL La Louvière goals
  • Club Brugge goals
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Form

RAAL La Louvière

  • 19.09away · OH Leuven0:2
  • 13.09Kortrijk3:0
  • 05.09away · St.Truiden0:4
  • 29.08KV Mechelen2:2
  • 21.08away · Standard Liège0:2

Club Brugge

  • 20.09Genk3:0
  • 13.09Royal Antwerp3:1
  • 08.09Aston Villa2:3
  • 04.09away · Lommel1:0
  • 30.08away · Gent1:2

Head to head

  • 16.01.2026Club Brugge — RAAL La Louvière2:3
  • 13.09.2025RAAL La Louvière — Club Brugge1:0

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
1, Champions LeagueGent871015–4+1122
2, Champions League qualifyingClub Brugge870119–4+1521
3, Europa League or Conference LeagueSporting Charleroi870116–7+921
15OH Leuven81256–14-85
16RAAL La Louvière81168–18-104
17, RelegationCercle Brugge80359–16-73

Season 2026/27

Full table

Next matches

  • InterClub Brugge13 October · Champions League
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 3:4. Model's score: 3:1.3.0
  • RAAL La LouvièreFC Liège17 October · Belgian Cup
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0

Belgian Pro League on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:1.3.1
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 3:0. Model's score: 2:0.2.9
  • XThe most likely outcome did not happen: XFinal score 0:2. Model's score: 1:1.2.6

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →