UEFA Conference League, round 1 · Thursday, 15 October, MSK · Planet Group Arena
Gent — AGF
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
Gent are clear favourites: 52% against 23% for the opponent, draw 25%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 2.9 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Gent are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
- AGF: only 3 days of rest since the previous match.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Gent — AGF What is xG? | 1.8–1.1 | |
| Gent not to lose | 77% | |
| AGF not to lose | 48% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Gent
- Gent goals
- AGF goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Zulte Waregem2:0
- 18.09Standard Liège2:1
- 13.09away · Genk1:1
- 06.09away · Cercle Brugge3:0
- 03.09OH Leuven1:0
- 12.10Sønderjyske3:0
- 20.09away · AC Horsens2:2
- 13.09away · Nordsjælland0:2
- 05.09Silkeborg2:2
- 02.09FC Midtjylland0:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Conference League on the same day
- 7218111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.2
- 5624201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 2024562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- 3427402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- 2024562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- 2525502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.8
- 1521642The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.0
- 4925261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →