Belgian Pro League, round 9 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Gent — Anderlecht
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Gent are clear favourites: 47% against 25% for the opponent, draw 28%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Gent are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Gent — Anderlecht What is xG? | 1.5–1.1 | |
| Gent not to lose | 75% | |
| Anderlecht not to lose | 53% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 47% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 53% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Gent
- Gent goals
- Anderlecht goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Zulte Waregem2:0
- 18.09Standard Liège2:1
- 13.09away · Genk1:1
- 06.09away · Cercle Brugge3:0
- 03.09OH Leuven1:0
- 10.10away · Cercle Brugge2:1
- 19.09Zulte Waregem3:0
- 16.09Lyon1:2
- 11.09away · KV Mechelen1:0
- 06.09Genk0:0
Head to head
- 10.05.2026Gent — Anderlecht1:1
- 12.04.2026Anderlecht — Gent3:1
- 18.01.2026Gent — Anderlecht4:2
- 15.01.2026Anderlecht — Gent1:0
- 23.09.2025Anderlecht — Gent1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Champions League | Gent | 8 | 7 | +11 | 22 |
| 2, Champions League qualifying | Club Brugge | 8 | 7 | +15 | 21 |
| 4, Europa League or Conference League | Union St.Gilloise | 8 | 6 | +18 | 20 |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 8 | 5 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 | Westerlo | 8 | 4 | +3 | 13 |
Belgian Pro League on the same day
- GenkStandard Liègepreliminary6421151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- Club BruggeSt.Truidenpreliminary7118111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.7
- Union St.GilloiseCercle Bruggepreliminary7020101The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →